tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11336670.post977157326622127536..comments2024-03-13T03:24:01.167-04:00Comments on Marginalizing Morons: Crash PredictionCaptiousNuthttp://www.blogger.com/profile/14440029537418230507noreply@blogger.comBlogger10125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11336670.post-66799328283540304642009-11-25T15:23:34.887-05:002009-11-25T15:23:34.887-05:00super bond boy,
I've pre-addressed your criti...super bond boy,<br /><br />I've pre-addressed your <em>critique</em>!<br /><br />My post is clearly labeled *cheap talk*.<br /><br />And my *within a year* call was also articulated as self-conscious BS.<br /><br />I am buying LEAPS these days, instead of near month premium, because my money and my mouth are always in the same place.<br /><br />I have almost all of my trades from the past few years posted on this site. Check them out. <br /><br />And I've been trading professionally for 14 years now.<br /><br />Where are your trades posted?CaptiousNuthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14440029537418230507noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11336670.post-155689750687303562009-11-25T12:24:32.413-05:002009-11-25T12:24:32.413-05:00Hey nutz - I'm new to the board. I just read ...Hey nutz - I'm new to the board. I just read this and think 99% of traders, advisors and economists think there has to be a sustantial pullback at one point and for you to say that it could happen within the next two years isn't really saying much except allowing you to get on a soapbox after it happens and say I told you so. By that time the market could be at $12,000 so a 2,000 point pullback only gets us back to where we are today. <br /><br />My only point is we could easily float up 2,000 in a year just as we could crash down. Have you ever heard up in an escalator down in an elevator (don't answer that!)<br /><br />Now if you want to write something about the cheap dollar, the currency war with China, inflation and use a catalyst for the downturn, then you can prognosticate. <br /><br />The only thing you should feel confident about is your ability to kill mice.<br /><br />See ya <br /><br />super bond boyAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11336670.post-57198313859172332472009-11-24T23:56:04.512-05:002009-11-24T23:56:04.512-05:00$5 a gallon? That's a nice, round number. How ...$5 a gallon? That's a nice, round number. How that squares with a collapse, I can't imagine.<br /><br />What happened to the price of oil in the aftermath of the asian financial crisis/russian default? Why will this time be different?<br /><br />Prechter may well be right: new lows in oil are on the way, as the coming crisis is The Big One.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11336670.post-72147119536784460372009-11-24T14:07:30.083-05:002009-11-24T14:07:30.083-05:00I don't want to buy anything - new OR used - u...I don't want to buy anything - new OR used - until the market tanks (or oil spikes).<br /><br />Soon enough everything will be *on sale*.CaptiousNuthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14440029537418230507noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11336670.post-18724156423575319602009-11-24T13:09:03.758-05:002009-11-24T13:09:03.758-05:00Gasoline: That's what I have been thinking. ...Gasoline: That's what I have been thinking. Hmm, maybe time to trade one Section 179 for a smaller one. <br /><br />Slow out.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11336670.post-50503279276769618112009-11-24T10:34:30.007-05:002009-11-24T10:34:30.007-05:00C-Nut,
Free staters have been expecting the coll...C-Nut,<br /><br /> Free staters have been expecting the collapse for some time now. They have been preparing up here in NH and I am lucky to call some of them friends. Whether it is windmills, biodeisal producers, land, animals, physical gold etc. Some call them anarchists some just plain old wackos but all empires come to end and they are prepared to defend themselves and their assets. If and when it happens, it will be bloody. <br /><br />KfellAnonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11336670.post-84090657833277695172009-11-24T09:18:36.143-05:002009-11-24T09:18:36.143-05:00I'm sure there's very little physical gold...I'm sure there's very little physical gold there!<br /><br />Think of it this way, what today in this economy actually has any real collateral behind it?<br /><br />That being said, conspiracies with gold (and oil!) go with the territory; they're a dime a dozen.<br /><br />I don't think gold is a trading vehicle. It's a diversification tool. Buy 100 ounces, take delivery, bury it in the ground somewhere or have it sent to me,....in the event of complete economic collapse, at least you'll have something of value.<br /><br />Do that with the hope that you actually lose 50% on it. Nobody really wants a total collapse - nobody in their right mind anyway.CaptiousNuthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14440029537418230507noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11336670.post-53330757842611367212009-11-24T08:46:08.796-05:002009-11-24T08:46:08.796-05:00Been hearing a lot of talk about the ETF GLD being...Been hearing a lot of talk about the ETF GLD being unaudited and maybe short on real physical gold.<br /><br />Any thoughts on the validity of this?Big Macnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11336670.post-4225051499430539332009-11-23T22:12:51.894-05:002009-11-23T22:12:51.894-05:00Within 2 years, $5 a gallon.
That's why I'...Within 2 years, $5 a gallon.<br /><br />That's why I'm against my wife's desire to buy another Chevy Suburban.<br /><br />$5 will come mostly from dollar implosion.CaptiousNuthttps://www.blogger.com/profile/14440029537418230507noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-11336670.post-25365607031368842212009-11-23T21:32:33.539-05:002009-11-23T21:32:33.539-05:00Unrelated issue: What's your gasoline price e...Unrelated issue: What's your gasoline price estimates for 1-2 years out? <br /><br />Figured this would be a good a place as any to ask.<br /><br />Slow out.Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com